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Viktoria Žižkov vs Baník Ostrava II Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 08:15

Viktoria Žižkov

PPG 1.87 · HOME

UPCOMING

Baník Ostrava II

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.3%0-24.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.9%1-111.6%1-27.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.1%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.7%3-14.8%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 46.5% 2.15 -2.0%

Draw 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.6%

Away win 29.7% 33.3% 3.00 -6.5%

Over 2.5 58.6% 59.9% 1.67 -2.1%

Over 3.5 34.9% 37.0% 2.70 -5.8%

BTTS 60.3% 65.4% 1.53 -7.7%

Home O1.5 46.9% 52.4% 1.91 -10.4%

Away O1.5 36.9% 42.6% 2.35 -13.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.3%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoria Žižkov1.6

Baník Ostrava II1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIA ŽIŽKOV · PPG 1.87

BANÍK OSTRAVA II · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Viktoria Žižkov (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -2.0%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%

Baník Ostrava II (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoria Žižkov face Baník Ostrava II in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria Žižkov a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Baník Ostrava II 30%, so Viktoria Žižkov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Viktoria Žižkov and 1.3 for Baník Ostrava II (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria Žižkov are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.20 for Baník Ostrava II.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Baník Ostrava II Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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