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Vlašim vs Příbram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 5 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:00

Vlašim

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDL

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Příbram

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.4%0-23.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.0%1-111.1%1-26.2%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.7%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.1%3-15.7%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.7%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 47.6% 2.10 +2.7%

Draw 24.2% 29.0% 3.45 -9.9%

Away win 26.9% 33.3% 3.00 -11.6%

Over 2.5 53.9% 60.6% 1.65 -11.1%

Over 3.5 33.4% 38.5% 2.60 -13.2%

BTTS 54.7% 65.4% 1.53 -16.3%

Home O1.5 48.8% 54.1% 1.85 -9.7%

Away O1.5 35.6% 43.5% 2.30 -18.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.7%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vlašim1.8

Příbram1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VLAŠIM · PPG 1.73

PŘÍBRAM · PPG 1.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vlašim (H) 48.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +2.7%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -9.9%

Příbram (A) 26.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vlašim face Příbram in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vlašim a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Příbram 27%, so Vlašim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vlašim and 1.1 for Příbram (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vlašim are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.60 for Příbram. This match finished 2-2.

Vlašim vs Příbram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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