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Slavia Praha II vs Hanácká Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 08:15

Slavia Praha II

PPG 1.63 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWD

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Hanácká

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-13.7%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.8%1-18.4%1-23.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.5%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-17.2%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-16.9%4+-22.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.5% 62.5% 1.60 +4.8%

Draw 19.6% 26.7% 3.75 -15.9%

Away win 14.8% 21.1% 4.75 -17.8%

Over 2.5 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 38.2% 2.62 -4.1%

BTTS 53.0% 61.7% 1.62 -14.1%

Home O1.5 65.1% 63.7% 1.57 +2.2%

Away O1.5 19.1% 29.4% 3.40 -21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.0%

H 66% / xG 2.3-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Praha II2.3

Hanácká0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAHA II · PPG 1.63

HANÁCKÁ · PPG 1.02

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Praha II (H) 65.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV +4.8%

Draw 19.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -15.9%

Hanácká (A) 14.8%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Praha II face Hanácká in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Praha II a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Hanácká 15%, so Slavia Praha II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Slavia Praha II and 0.8 for Hanácká (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Praha II are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.02 for Hanácká. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 4-1.

Slavia Praha II vs Hanácká Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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