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Baník Ostrava II vs Táborsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:30

Baník Ostrava II

PPG 1.49 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Táborsko

PPG 1.39 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.0%0-25.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.1%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.5%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.4%3-13.7%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 38.2% 2.62 +12.7%

Draw 27.9% 34.5% 2.90 -11.5%

Away win 29.1% 40.0% 2.50 -16.4%

Over 2.5 45.9% 52.4% 1.91 -12.3%

Over 3.5 28.8% 31.3% 3.20 -4.7%

BTTS 50.5% 59.9% 1.67 -15.7%

Home O1.5 37.4% 40.8% 2.45 -8.4%

Away O1.5 35.4% 41.7% 2.40 -15.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.5%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Ostrava II1.3

Táborsko1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK OSTRAVA II · PPG 1.49

TÁBORSKO · PPG 1.39

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Baník Ostrava II (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +12.7%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.5%

Táborsko (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Ostrava II face Táborsko in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Ostrava II a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Táborsko 29%, so Baník Ostrava II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Baník Ostrava II and 1.1 for Táborsko (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Ostrava II are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.39 for Táborsko. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Baník Ostrava II vs Táborsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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