Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / Zbrojovka Brno U19 vs Karviná U19

Zbrojovka Brno U19 vs Karviná U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:00

Zbrojovka Brno U19 logo
Zbrojovka Brno U19
PPG 1.45 · HOME
LAST 5
DLLW ·
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Karviná U19 logo
Karviná U19
PPG 1.13 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.3%0-22.9%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.3%1-17.4%1-26.4%1-33.6%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.6%3-16.1%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.7%4+-24.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 45.0%
Draw 21.4%
Away win 33.7%
Over 2.5 69.2%
Over 3.5 48.8%
BTTS 69.2%
Home O1.5 65.8%
Away O1.5 47.9%

League track record

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 72%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%
#2 2–1 8.3%
#3 1–2 6.4%
#4 2–2 7.1%
#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zbrojovka Brno U192.2
Karviná U191.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZBROJOVKA BRNO U19 · PPG 1.45

KARVINÁ U19 · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zbrojovka Brno U19 (H) 45.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Karviná U19 (A) 33.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno U19 face Karviná U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno U19 a 45% chance, the draw 21% and Karviná U19 34%, so Zbrojovka Brno U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Zbrojovka Brno U19 and 1.7 for Karviná U19 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno U19 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.13 for Karviná U19. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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