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Inter Miami II vs Atlanta United II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 23:00

Inter Miami II

PPG 0.80 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDW

UPCOMING

Atlanta United II

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-17.2%0-27.7%0-35.5%0-4+4.8%1 1-04.2%1-19.0%1-29.6%1-36.9%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.7%2-15.7%2-26.0%2-34.3%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.1%3-12.4%3-22.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% 23.1% 4.33 +0.0%

Draw 21.3% 21.7% 4.60 -1.2%

Away win 55.6% 69.4% 1.44 -19.9%

Over 2.5 64.5% 71.4% 1.40 -9.7%

Over 3.5 43.2% 52.4% 1.91 -17.5%

BTTS 62.5% 71.4% 1.40 -12.5%

Home O1.5 35.9% 39.8% 2.51 -9.9%

Away O1.5 59.3% 74.6% 1.34 -20.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.5%

A 56% / xG 1.3-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1 9.0%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 6.9%

#5 2–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Miami II1.3

Atlanta United II2.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.5% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.80

ATLANTA UNITED II · PPG 1.18

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Miami II (H) 23.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +0.0%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -1.2%

Atlanta United II (A) 55.6%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -19.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Miami II face Atlanta United II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami II a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Atlanta United II 56%, so Atlanta United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Inter Miami II and 2.1 for Atlanta United II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami II are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.18 for Atlanta United II. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.6%.

Inter Miami II vs Atlanta United II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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