Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Banfield Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res.

Banfield Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 18:00

Banfield Res. logo
Banfield Res.
PPG 1.42 · HOME
LAST 5
WDLLD
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Talleres Córdoba Res. logo
Talleres Córdoba Res.
PPG 2.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-115.5%0-28.0%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.0%1-113.4%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.6%2-15.8%2-23.0%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.6%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.4% 34.5% 2.90 -11.8%
Draw 31.7% 34.7% 2.88 -8.7%
Away win 37.9% 44.4% 2.25 -14.7%
Over 2.5 42.6% 44.4% 2.25 -4.2%
Over 3.5 20.7% 26.0% 3.84 -12.3%
BTTS 47.2% 51.3% 1.95 -8.0%
Home O1.5 30.9% 34.1% 2.93 -9.5%
Away O1.5 32.6% 40.8% 2.45 -20.1%

League track record

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 65%
ROI -7.0%
Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%
#2 0–1 15.5%
#3 1–1 13.4%
#4 1–0 13.0%
#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banfield Res.0.9
Talleres Córdoba Res.1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BANFIELD RES. · PPG 1.42

TALLERES CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Banfield Res. (H) 30.4%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.8%
Draw 31.7%
ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -8.7%
Talleres Córdoba Res. (A) 37.9%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banfield Res. face Talleres Córdoba Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banfield Res. a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Córdoba Res. 38%, so Talleres Córdoba Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Banfield Res. and 1.0 for Talleres Córdoba Res. (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banfield Res. are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 2.00 for Talleres Córdoba Res.. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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