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Zlín U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 11 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 13:00

Zlín U19

PPG 0.99 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Pardubice U19

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.9%0-24.8%0-33.1%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.4%1-18.5%1-28.3%1-35.4%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.8%2-17.4%2-27.2%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.2%3-14.3%3-24.1%3-32.7%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.7%4+-22.7%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 43.6% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 56.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlín U191.7

Pardubice U191.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLÍN U19 · PPG 0.99

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zlín U19 (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pardubice U19 (A) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlín U19 face Pardubice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlín U19 a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Pardubice U19 44%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Zlín U19 and 1.9 for Pardubice U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlín U19 are averaging 0.99 points per game versus 1.11 for Pardubice U19. This match finished 0-1.

Zlín U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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