Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 18:00

Racing Club Res.

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDLD

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-111.3%0-24.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.7%1-113.2%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.1%2-17.7%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-13.0%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% 50.0% 2.00 -15.4%

Draw 30.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.8%

Away win 27.3% 29.4% 3.40 -4.3%

Over 2.5 41.0% 47.6% 2.10 -13.9%

Over 3.5 20.7% 27.9% 3.58 -15.5%

BTTS 47.2% 54.6% 1.83 -13.6%

Home O1.5 31.5% 47.4% 2.11 -33.5%

Away O1.5 23.6% 29.9% 3.34 -12.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -7.0%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Club Res.1.2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CLUB RES. · PPG 1.55

GIMNASIA LA PLATA RES. · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.01 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Club Res. (H) 42.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -15.4%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.8%

Gimnasia La Plata Res. (A) 27.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Club Res. face Gimnasia La Plata Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Club Res. a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 27%, so Racing Club Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Racing Club Res. and 0.8 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Club Res. are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.42 for Gimnasia La Plata Res.. This match finished 1-4.

Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions