Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs

Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 00:38

Colorado Rapids II

PPG 0.82 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDWL

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Real Monarchs

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-18.7%0-25.8%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.1%1-112.1%1-28.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.4%2-18.5%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.0%3-14.0%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 50.0% 2.00 -14.0%

Draw 25.0% 27.8% 3.60 -6.0%

Away win 32.1% 34.5% 2.90 -6.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Over 3.5 31.5% 42.9% 2.33 -26.6%

BTTS 54.7% 65.4% 1.53 -16.3%

Home O1.5 39.8% 57.1% 1.75 -30.3%

Away O1.5 40.9% 43.5% 2.30 -5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

H 43% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Rapids II1.4

Real Monarchs1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO RAPIDS II · PPG 0.82

REAL MONARCHS · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Rapids II (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -14.0%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.0%

Real Monarchs (A) 32.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Rapids II face Real Monarchs in USA - MLS Next Pro on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Rapids II a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Real Monarchs 32%, so Colorado Rapids II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Colorado Rapids II and 1.3 for Real Monarchs (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Rapids II are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.64 for Real Monarchs. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions