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Huntsville City vs Columbus Crew II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 23:00

Huntsville City

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Columbus Crew II

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.3%0-23.4%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.5%1-18.7%1-26.8%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.8%3-16.0%3-24.7%3-32.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.8%4+-23.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 51.3% 1.95 -6.8%

Draw 22.7% 28.6% 3.50 -12.3%

Away win 29.6% 32.3% 3.10 -4.9%

Over 2.5 65.2% 65.4% 1.53 -0.2%

Over 3.5 43.5% 50.0% 2.00 -13.0%

BTTS 63.2% 73.5% 1.36 -14.1%

Home O1.5 57.1% 63.3% 1.58 -9.8%

Away O1.5 48.5% 48.5% 2.06 -0.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.2%

H 48% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huntsville City2.0

Columbus Crew II1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNTSVILLE CITY · PPG 1.42

COLUMBUS CREW II · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Huntsville City (H) 47.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -6.8%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.3%

Columbus Crew II (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huntsville City face Columbus Crew II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huntsville City a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Columbus Crew II 30%, so Huntsville City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Huntsville City and 1.6 for Columbus Crew II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huntsville City are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.09 for Columbus Crew II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Huntsville City vs Columbus Crew II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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