Telstar vs Sparta Prediction & Tips

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31 BUKO Stadion· Velsen-Zuid Wednesday, April 22, 2026 18:00

Telstar PPG 0.93

4-1 MISS

Sparta PPG 1.33

Home· -3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Home 42.4%

Odds: 2.28 EV: -3.3%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -13.1%

Away 34.1%

Odds: 2.76 EV: -5.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 61.1% Odds: 1.57 -4.1%

Over 3.5 38.7% Odds: 2.40 -7.1%

BTTS 62.8% Odds: 1.48 -7.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Telstar

1.68

Sparta

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.93) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)