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Al Dhafra U23 vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

Al Dhafra U23

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LLD ··

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.1%0-26.3%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.3%1-111.4%1-28.8%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.0%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.4%3-13.7%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 42.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 39.9% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2✓ 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–1 8.1%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Dhafra U231.4

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U231.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL DHAFRA U23 · PPG 1.42

SHABAB AL-AHLI DUBAI U23 · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Dhafra U23 (H) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 (A) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Dhafra U23 face Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Dhafra U23 a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 42%, so Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Dhafra U23 and 1.5 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Dhafra U23 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.47 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23. This match finished 1-2.

Al Dhafra U23 vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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