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Khorfakkan U23 vs Al Ain U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

Khorfakkan U23 logo
Khorfakkan U23
PPG 0.97 · HOME
LAST 5
LLD ··
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Al Ain U23 logo
Al Ain U23
PPG 2.12 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWW ··

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.25 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-110.2%0-211.0%0-37.8%0-4+6.9%1 1-04.3%1-19.2%1-29.9%1-37.0%1-4+6.2%2 2-01.9%2-14.1%2-24.4%2-33.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 14.3%
Draw 24.7%
Away win 60.9%
Over 2.5 53.9%
Over 3.5 31.6%
BTTS 51.1%
Home O1.5 30.6%
Away O1.5 57.7%

League track record

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 82%
Score Hit 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%
#2 0–2 11.0%
#3 1–2 9.9%
#4 0–1 10.2%
#5 0–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khorfakkan U230.9
Al Ain U232.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KHORFAKKAN U23 · PPG 0.97

AL AIN U23 · PPG 2.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -1.25 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Khorfakkan U23 (H) 14.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Al Ain U23 (A) 60.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Khorfakkan U23 face Al Ain U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khorfakkan U23 a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Al Ain U23 61%, so Al Ain U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Khorfakkan U23 and 2.1 for Al Ain U23 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khorfakkan U23 are averaging 0.97 points per game versus 2.12 for Al Ain U23. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

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