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Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 26 RZD Arena· Moscow Wednesday, April 22, 2026 16:45
Lokomotiv M. logo Lokomotiv M. PPG 2.17
0-0 MISS
Zenit logo Zenit PPG 1.67
Home· +30.9% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%
Odds: 3.48 EV: +30.9%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 3.48 EV: -15.4%
Away 38.1%
Odds: 2.18 EV: -16.9%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.8% Odds: 2.01 +16.2%
Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 3.35 +18.6%
BTTS 60.5% Odds: 1.76 +6.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lokomotiv M.
1.50
Zenit
1.51

Model Suggestion

BTTS +6.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+30.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.67)

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