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Spartak Trnava vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 2 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:00

Spartak Trnava

PPG 1.92 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

DAC Streda

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-19.0%0-26.4%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.4%1-112.0%1-28.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.6%2-18.0%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.5%3-13.6%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 43.9% 2.28 -19.5%

Draw 25.5% 30.3% 3.30 -15.8%

Away win 39.3% 34.5% 2.90 +14.0%

Over 2.5 52.1% 56.5% 1.77 -7.8%

Over 3.5 30.0% 34.5% 2.90 -13.0%

BTTS 56.0% 63.7% 1.57 -12.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob56.0%

A 39% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spartak Trnava1.3

DAC Streda1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTAK TRNAVA · PPG 1.92

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.92), Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

Spartak Trnava (H) 35.3%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -19.5%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.8%

DAC Streda (A) 39.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Spartak Trnava face DAC Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spartak Trnava a 35% chance, the draw 26% and DAC Streda 39%, so DAC Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Spartak Trnava and 1.4 for DAC Streda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spartak Trnava are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.92 for DAC Streda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Spartak Trnava vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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