Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Vsetín vs Uničov

Vsetín vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Vsetín

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Uničov

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a clear edge.

+10.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-18.3%0-28.2%0-35.4%0-4+4.2%1 1-05.0%1-19.9%1-29.8%1-36.5%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.0%2-15.9%2-25.8%2-33.8%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.2%3-12.3%3-22.3%3-31.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% 30.3% 3.30 -13.3%

Draw 21.6% 31.3% 3.20 -18.5%

Away win 54.8% 51.3% 1.95 +6.9%

Over 2.5 62.9% 57.1% 1.75 +10.1%

Over 3.5 39.4% 39.1% 2.56 +0.9%

BTTS 61.3% 64.5% 1.55 -5.0%

Home O1.5 32.4% 40.0% 2.50 -19.0%

Away O1.5 55.2% 54.6% 1.83 +1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.3%

A 55% / xG 1.2-2.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2✓ 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.2%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 2–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vsetín1.2

Uničov2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VSETÍN · PPG 1.11

UNIČOV · PPG 1.92

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.79 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vsetín (H) 23.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.3%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -18.5%

Uničov (A) 54.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vsetín face Uničov in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vsetín a 24% chance, the draw 22% and Uničov 55%, so Uničov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vsetín and 2.0 for Uničov (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vsetín are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.92 for Uničov. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +10.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Vsetín vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL Predictions