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Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Bristol City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Sheffield Wednesday U21

PPG 1.41 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bristol City U21

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.2%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.4%1-17.3%1-26.1%1-33.4%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.8%3-16.4%3-25.3%3-32.9%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-16.3%4+-25.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 45.5% 2.20 +6.3%

Draw 22.7% 25.6% 3.90 -6.9%

Away win 29.0% 40.8% 2.45 -17.4%

Over 2.5 64.6% 75.2% 1.33 -14.1%

Over 3.5 43.5% 54.1% 1.85 -19.5%

BTTS 63.1% 74.1% 1.35 -14.8%

Home O1.5 65.1% 60.6% 1.65 +7.4%

Away O1.5 48.5% 57.8% 1.73 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.1%

H 48% / xG 2.3-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 7.3%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield Wednesday U212.3

Bristol City U211.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY U21 · PPG 1.41

BRISTOL CITY U21 · PPG 1.13

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield Wednesday U21 (H) 48.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +6.3%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -6.9%

Bristol City U21 (A) 29.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Wednesday U21 face Bristol City U21 in England - Professional Development League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Wednesday U21 a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Bristol City U21 29%, so Sheffield Wednesday U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sheffield Wednesday U21 and 1.7 for Bristol City U21 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Wednesday U21 are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.13 for Bristol City U21. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +11.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Bristol City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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