Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / Pardubice U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19

Pardubice U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 09:00

Pardubice U19 logo
Pardubice U19
PPG 1.39 · HOME
LAST 5
LDLWL
2 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Sigma Olomouc U19 logo
Sigma Olomouc U19
PPG 1.37 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.1%0-23.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.7%1-18.2%1-27.1%1-34.1%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.2%3-15.5%3-24.8%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.4%4+-23.8%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.5%
Draw 21.6%
Away win 34.8%
Over 2.5 67.3%
Over 3.5 43.5%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 55.8%
Away O1.5 48.5%

League track record

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 72%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%
#2 2–1 8.3%
#3 1–2 7.1%
#4 2–2 7.2%
#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pardubice U192.0
Sigma Olomouc U191.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.39

SIGMA OLOMOUC U19 · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pardubice U19 (H) 43.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sigma Olomouc U19 (A) 34.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pardubice U19 face Sigma Olomouc U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pardubice U19 a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Sigma Olomouc U19 35%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Pardubice U19 and 1.7 for Sigma Olomouc U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pardubice U19 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.37 for Sigma Olomouc U19. This match finished 2-4.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org