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Juventud Antoniana vs Villa Mitre Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 00:00

Juventud Antoniana

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Villa Mitre

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.5%0-111.8%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.5%2-15.8%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.5%3-11.9%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% 50.0% 2.00 -12.4%

Draw 33.1% 35.7% 2.80 -7.3%

Away win 23.1% 27.0% 3.70 -8.7%

Over 2.5 34.5% 38.2% 2.62 -9.6%

Over 3.5 14.7% 20.0% 5.00 -15.9%

BTTS 43.6% 42.0% 2.38 +3.8%

Home O1.5 30.6% 38.3% 2.61 -20.1%

Away O1.5 16.4% 19.0% 5.25 -8.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 122 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob43.6%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 21.5%

#2 1–0 21.3%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud Antoniana1.0

Villa Mitre0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 14.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD ANTONIANA · PPG 1.44

VILLA MITRE · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 1.54 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventud Antoniana (H) 43.8%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -12.4%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -7.3%

Villa Mitre (A) 23.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud Antoniana face Villa Mitre in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud Antoniana a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Villa Mitre 23%, so Juventud Antoniana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Juventud Antoniana and 0.5 for Villa Mitre (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud Antoniana are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Villa Mitre. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Juventud Antoniana vs Villa Mitre Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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