Today / QP Rangers vs Swansea City

QP Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

QP Rangers

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Swansea City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.4%0-23.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.8%1-111.1%1-26.3%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.0%3-15.6%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.6%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 54.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.6% — — —

BTTS 56.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.0%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–0 9.8%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 2–0 8.5%

#5 0–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

QP Rangers1.7

Swansea City1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

QP RANGERS · PPG 1.57

SWANSEA CITY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

QP Rangers (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Swansea City (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

QP Rangers face Swansea City on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives QP Rangers a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Swansea City 25%, so QP Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for QP Rangers and 1.1 for Swansea City (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, QP Rangers are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.00 for Swansea City. This match finished 1-2.

QP Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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