Today / Brazil - Mineiro U20 / Coimbra U20 vs América Mineiro U20

Coimbra U20 vs América Mineiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 6 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

Coimbra U20

PPG 2.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

América Mineiro U20

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-18.6%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.5%1-112.5%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.0%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.7%3-14.4%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% 34.5% 2.90 +35.4%

Draw 26.4% 30.3% 3.30 -7.7%

Away win 26.9% 47.6% 2.10 -26.1%

Over 2.5 50.2% 51.3% 1.95 -2.1%

Over 3.5 28.4% 31.3% 3.20 -5.5%

BTTS 53.0% 59.2% 1.69 -10.4%

Home O1.5 40.0% 37.9% 2.64 +5.6%

Away O1.5 24.7% 45.5% 2.20 -27.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 0–0 9.3%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coimbra U201.4

América Mineiro U200.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

COIMBRA U20 · PPG 2.17

AMÉRICA MINEIRO U20 · PPG 0.71

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Coimbra U20 (H) 46.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +35.4%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.7%

América Mineiro U20 (A) 26.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -26.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Coimbra U20 face América Mineiro U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coimbra U20 a 47% chance, the draw 26% and América Mineiro U20 27%, so Coimbra U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Coimbra U20 and 0.9 for América Mineiro U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coimbra U20 are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.71 for América Mineiro U20. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Coimbra U20 vs América Mineiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Mineiro U20 Predictions