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Chindia Targoviste vs CS Dinamo București Prediction— Romania - Liga II

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 14:30

Chindia Targoviste

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

CS Dinamo București

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-12.7%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-16.9%1-22.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-19.0%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.1%3-17.7%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.2%4+-19.4%4+-23.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 13.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 18.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 36%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 3–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chindia Targoviste2.6

CS Dinamo București0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHINDIA TARGOVISTE · PPG 1.80

CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Chindia Targoviste (H) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CS Dinamo București (A) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chindia Targoviste face CS Dinamo București in Romania - Liga II on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chindia Targoviste a 70% chance, the draw 17% and CS Dinamo București 13%, so Chindia Targoviste are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Chindia Targoviste and 0.8 for CS Dinamo București (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chindia Targoviste are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.81 for CS Dinamo București. This match finished 1-2.

Chindia Targoviste vs CS Dinamo București Prediction— Romania - Liga II

Match Preview & Prediction

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