Today / Romania - Liga II / Viitorul Şelimbăr vs CS Afumati
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs CS Afumati Prediction— Romania - Liga II
Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 08:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%
Form & verdict
VIITORUL ŞELIMBĂR · PPG 1.49
CS AFUMATI · PPG 1.27
xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Viitorul Şelimbăr face CS Afumati in Romania - Liga II on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viitorul Şelimbăr a 48% chance, the draw 24% and CS Afumati 28%, so Viitorul Şelimbăr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.2 for CS Afumati (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viitorul Şelimbăr are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.27 for CS Afumati. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +36.1%. This match finished 1-1.