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CSM Satu Mare vs Bihor Oradea Prediction— Romania - Liga II

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:00

CSM Satu Mare

PPG 1.02 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bihor Oradea

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.4%0-26.3%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.4%1-112.4%1-28.2%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.2%2-18.2%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.7%3-13.6%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 23.8% 4.20 +51.2%

Draw 27.2% 29.0% 3.45 -3.7%

Away win 36.8% 57.1% 1.75 -35.6%

Over 2.5 51.0% 51.8% 1.93 -1.6%

Over 3.5 30.9% 29.9% 3.35 +3.5%

BTTS 54.7% 55.6% 1.80 -1.5%

Home O1.5 37.8% 29.0% 3.45 +30.4%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.6% 1.83 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 36%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

A 37% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0✓ 7.1%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CSM Satu Mare1.3

Bihor Oradea1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.0% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CSM SATU MARE · PPG 1.02

BIHOR ORADEA · PPG 1.02

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CSM Satu Mare (H) 36.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +51.2%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.7%

Bihor Oradea (A) 36.8%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -35.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

CSM Satu Mare face Bihor Oradea in Romania - Liga II on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSM Satu Mare a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Bihor Oradea 37%, so Bihor Oradea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for CSM Satu Mare and 1.3 for Bihor Oradea (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSM Satu Mare are averaging 1.02 points per game versus 1.02 for Bihor Oradea. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +49.8%. This match finished 0-0.

CSM Satu Mare vs Bihor Oradea Prediction— Romania - Liga II

Match Preview & Prediction

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