Today / Walldorf vs Bayern Alzenau

Walldorf vs Bayern Alzenau Prediction

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Walldorf

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bayern Alzenau

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.9%0-21.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.7%1-15.5%1-24.2%1-32.1%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.2%2-17.9%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.0%3-17.5%3-25.6%3-32.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-110.6%4+-28.0%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 18.1% — — —

Over 2.5 80.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.1% — — —

BTTS 73.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob73.2%

H 65% / xG 2.8-1.5 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 2–2 5.9%

#4 3–2 5.6%

#5 1–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Walldorf2.8

Bayern Alzenau1.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WALLDORF · PPG 1.86

BAYERN ALZENAU · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Walldorf (H) 65.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bayern Alzenau (A) 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Walldorf face Bayern Alzenau on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Walldorf a 65% chance, the draw 16% and Bayern Alzenau 18%, so Walldorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Walldorf and 1.5 for Bayern Alzenau (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Walldorf are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.47 for Bayern Alzenau. This match finished 0-3.

Walldorf vs Bayern Alzenau Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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