Today / Fulda-Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel

Fulda-Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel Prediction

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Fulda-Lehnerz
PPG 1.57 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Hessen Kassel
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.6%0-25.4%0-32.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.4%1-110.4%1-28.5%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.1%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.7%3-14.3%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.3%
Draw 23.4%
Away win 39.3%
Over 2.5 61.9%
Over 3.5 39.7%
BTTS 63.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.6%

A 39% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%
#2 1–2 8.5%
#3 2–1 8.2%
#4 2–2 6.7%
#5 0–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fulda-Lehnerz1.6
Hessen Kassel1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FULDA-LEHNERZ · PPG 1.57

HESSEN KASSEL · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Fulda-Lehnerz (H) 37.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hessen Kassel (A) 39.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fulda-Lehnerz face Hessen Kassel on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fulda-Lehnerz a 37% chance, the draw 23% and Hessen Kassel 39%, so Hessen Kassel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fulda-Lehnerz and 1.6 for Hessen Kassel (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fulda-Lehnerz are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.50 for Hessen Kassel. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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