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Kitzbuhel vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 21 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

Kitzbuhel

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.1%0-25.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.2%1-110.1%1-28.3%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.3%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.8%3-14.6%3-23.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.7%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 38.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 65.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob65.0%

H 39% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 1–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kitzbuhel1.6

Wals-Grunau1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KITZBUHEL · PPG 1.40

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Kitzbuhel (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wals-Grunau (A) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kitzbuhel face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kitzbuhel a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Wals-Grunau 38%, so Kitzbuhel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kitzbuhel and 1.6 for Wals-Grunau (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kitzbuhel are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.27 for Wals-Grunau. This match finished 0-1.

Kitzbuhel vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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