Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Inter Miami II vs New England II

Inter Miami II vs New England II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 23:00

Inter Miami II

PPG 0.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDW

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

New England II

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-111.9%0-211.5%0-37.4%0-4+5.5%1 1-05.3%1-110.2%1-29.8%1-36.3%1-4+4.7%2 2-02.3%2-14.4%2-24.2%2-32.7%2-4+2.0%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.1% 22.2% 4.50 -16.5%

Draw 23.3% 26.7% 3.75 -7.6%

Away win 60.6% 63.7% 1.57 -4.9%

Over 2.5 56.9% 69.4% 1.44 -18.1%

Over 3.5 35.4% 47.6% 2.10 -25.7%

BTTS 53.0% 66.7% 1.50 -20.5%

Home O1.5 30.6% 36.8% 2.72 -16.8%

Away O1.5 55.2% 69.4% 1.44 -20.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob53.0%

A 61% / xG 0.9-1.9 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 1–1 10.2%

#3 0–1 11.9%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–3 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Miami II0.9

New England II1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.56

NEW ENGLAND II · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.07 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Miami II (H) 16.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -16.5%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.6%

New England II (A) 60.6%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Miami II face New England II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami II a 16% chance, the draw 23% and New England II 61%, so New England II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Inter Miami II and 1.9 for New England II (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami II are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 2.00 for New England II. This match finished 4-2.

Inter Miami II vs New England II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions