Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II
New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 21:00
// Model verdict
Home
Model probability 67.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 79 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 68% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 61%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%
Form & verdict
NEW YORK CITY II · PPG 1.80
FC CINCINNATI II · PPG 0.00
xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
New York City II face FC Cincinnati II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York City II a 68% chance, the draw 16% and FC Cincinnati II 16%, so New York City II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for New York City II and 0.9 for FC Cincinnati II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York City II are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.00 for FC Cincinnati II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.6%. This match finished 5-0.