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Hammarby W vs Piteå W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 17:00

Hammarby W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Piteå W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.93 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-12.7%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.1%1-16.3%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.8%2-17.5%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.3%3-15.9%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-013.8%4+-16.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.8% — — —

Draw 17.9% — — —

Away win 8.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 13.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 74% / xG 2.4-0.4 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.8%

#2 3–0 13.3%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 4–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hammarby W2.4

Piteå W0.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.50

PITEÅ W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.93 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hammarby W (H) 73.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Piteå W (A) 8.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hammarby W face Piteå W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hammarby W a 74% chance, the draw 18% and Piteå W 8%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hammarby W and 0.4 for Piteå W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hammarby W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Piteå W.

Hammarby W vs Piteå W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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