Today / Pohronie vs Banska Bystrica

Pohronie vs Banska Bystrica Prediction

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Pohronie
PPG 2.17 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Banska Bystrica
PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.17), Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.7%0-27.3%0-34.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.6%1-111.1%1-29.3%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.3%2-17.2%2-26.0%2-33.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.8%3-13.1%3-22.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.4%
Draw 24.0%
Away win 46.7%
Over 2.5 56.9%
Over 3.5 34.5%
BTTS 58.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.9%

A 47% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 0–1 8.7%
#4 0–2 7.3%
#5 2–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohronie1.3
Banska Bystrica1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.9% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

POHRONIE · PPG 2.17

BANSKA BYSTRICA · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.17), Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Win probability 1X2

Pohronie (H) 29.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Banska Bystrica (A) 46.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohronie face Banska Bystrica on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohronie a 29% chance, the draw 24% and Banska Bystrica 47%, so Banska Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pohronie and 1.7 for Banska Bystrica (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohronie are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.17 for Banska Bystrica.

PredictVantage

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