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RAAL La Louvière vs Gent Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

RAAL La Louvière

PPG 1.21 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gent

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.1%0-26.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.4%1-113.0%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-17.6%2-24.7%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 33.9% 2.95 +7.4%

Draw 27.7% 29.9% 3.35 -4.3%

Away win 35.8% 43.5% 2.30 -17.7%

Over 2.5 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 30.8% 3.25 -4.0%

BTTS 53.1% 59.9% 1.67 -11.3%

Home O1.5 31.1% 39.2% 2.55 -20.7%

Away O1.5 36.6% 46.5% 2.15 -21.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 17%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RAAL La Louvière1.2

Gent1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RAAL LA LOUVIÈRE · PPG 1.21

GENT · PPG 1.21

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

RAAL La Louvière (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +7.4%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.3%

Gent (A) 35.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

RAAL La Louvière face Gent in Belgium - Jupiler Pro League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RAAL La Louvière a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Gent 36%, so RAAL La Louvière are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for RAAL La Louvière and 1.2 for Gent (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RAAL La Louvière are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Gent. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +4.9%.

RAAL La Louvière vs Gent Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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