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Ilves II vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:00

Ilves II

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

NJS

PPG 0.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 84.6% vs bookmaker-implied 92.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.3%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.0%1-11.3%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.9%2-13.2%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.8%3-15.1%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-037.1%4+-124.1%4+-27.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 84.6% 92.6% 1.08 -8.6%

Draw 8.0% 12.5% 8.00 -21.6%

Away win 7.4% 8.0% 12.50 -4.5%

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% 75.8% 1.32 -14.6%

BTTS 53.1% 65.8% 1.52 -19.3%

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.1%

H 85% / xG 4.8-0.7 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 9.5%

#2 5–0 9.1%

#3 3–0 7.8%

#4 4–1 6.1%

#5 5–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ilves II4.8

NJS0.7

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ILVES II · PPG 2.12

NJS · PPG 0.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +4.18 for Home, form 2.12 vs 0.12 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ilves II (H) 84.6%

ODDS 1.08 · IMPLIED 92.6% EV -8.6%

Draw 8.0%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV -21.6%

NJS (A) 7.4%

ODDS 12.50 · IMPLIED 8.0% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ilves II face NJS in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ilves II a 85% chance, the draw 8% and NJS 7%, so Ilves II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.8 for Ilves II and 0.7 for NJS (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ilves II are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 0.12 for NJS.

Ilves II vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group B Predictions