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Honka vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Honka

PPG 2.14 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

NJS

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.75 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.4%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.7%1-11.8%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.9%2-13.9%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.2%3-15.5%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-037.5%4+-118.4%4+-24.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 80.7% — — —

Draw 11.4% — — —

Away win 7.9% — — —

Over 2.5 73.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.4%

H 81% / xG 4.2-0.5 / O2.5 73% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 11.9%

#2 3–0 11.2%

#3 5–0 10.1%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 4–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honka4.2

NJS0.5

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HONKA · PPG 2.14

NJS · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.75 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Honka (H) 80.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

NJS (A) 7.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honka face NJS in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honka a 81% chance, the draw 11% and NJS 8%, so Honka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Honka and 0.5 for NJS (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honka are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.14 for NJS. This match finished 7-0.

Honka vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group B Predictions