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Musa vs EBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Musa

PPG 0.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

EBK

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.1%0-24.1%0-32.8%0-4+2.3%1 1-03.8%1-17.7%1-27.8%1-35.3%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.5%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.2%3-14.5%3-24.6%3-33.1%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.2%4+-23.3%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 42.6% 2.35 -10.5%

Draw 21.8% 27.8% 3.60 -12.9%

Away win 40.1% 42.6% 2.35 -5.8%

Over 2.5 67.4% 79.4% 1.26 -15.1%

Over 3.5 47.2% 58.1% 1.72 -18.8%

BTTS 68.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob68.7%

A 40% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.8%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Musa1.9

EBK2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MUSA · PPG 0.62

EBK · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Musa (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -10.5%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.9%

EBK (A) 40.1%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Musa face EBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Musa a 38% chance, the draw 22% and EBK 40%, so EBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Musa and 2.0 for EBK (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Musa are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 0.50 for EBK.

Musa vs EBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

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