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Mezokovesd-zsory vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:30

Mezokovesd-zsory

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

BVSC

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.6%0-114.6%0-25.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.5%2-15.9%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 47.6% 2.10 -23.6%

Draw 33.8% 32.3% 3.10 +4.8%

Away win 29.8% 32.3% 3.10 -4.6%

Over 2.5 34.2% 43.5% 2.30 -21.3%

Over 3.5 17.7% 24.7% 4.05 -17.0%

BTTS 44.6% 52.4% 1.91 -14.8%

Home O1.5 30.2% 41.2% 2.43 -26.6%

Away O1.5 19.7% 31.4% 3.18 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.6%

D 34% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.6%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 0–1 14.6%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd-zsory0.9

BVSC0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY · PPG 1.56

BVSC · PPG 1.35

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 1.68 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd-zsory (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -23.6%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +4.8%

BVSC (A) 29.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd-zsory face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd-zsory a 36% chance, the draw 34% and BVSC 30%, so Mezokovesd-zsory are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mezokovesd-zsory and 0.8 for BVSC (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd-zsory are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.35 for BVSC.

Mezokovesd-zsory vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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