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SC Sopron vs Tatabánya Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:30

SC Sopron

PPG 1.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tatabánya

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.1%0-26.2%0-33.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.9%1-110.3%1-29.0%1-35.3%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.5%2-26.6%2-33.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 45.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 60.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.4%

A 45% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Sopron1.5

Tatabánya1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SC SOPRON · PPG 1.73

TATABÁNYA · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SC Sopron (H) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tatabánya (A) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Sopron face Tatabánya in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Sopron a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Tatabánya 45%, so Tatabánya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for SC Sopron and 1.7 for Tatabánya (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Sopron are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.83 for Tatabánya.

SC Sopron vs Tatabánya Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

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