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Eger vs Nyiregyhaza II Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:00

Eger logo
Eger
PPG 1.84 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Nyiregyhaza II logo
Nyiregyhaza II
PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.1%0-22.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.1%1-18.7%1-26.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.6%3-16.6%3-24.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.7%4+-24.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.0%
Draw 22.1%
Away win 25.9%
Over 2.5 64.8%
Over 3.5 42.9%
BTTS 63.3%
Home O1.5 59.8%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 2–2 6.6%
#4 3–1 6.6%
#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eger2.1
Nyiregyhaza II1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EGER · PPG 1.84

NYIREGYHAZA II · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eger (H) 52.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Nyiregyhaza II (A) 25.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eger face Nyiregyhaza II in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eger a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Nyiregyhaza II 26%, so Eger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Eger and 1.4 for Nyiregyhaza II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eger are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.91 for Nyiregyhaza II.

PredictVantage

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