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Kecskeméti TE vs Fehérvár FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:30

Kecskeméti TE

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fehérvár FC

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 55.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.9%0-24.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.5%1-110.4%1-27.3%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.9%3-15.4%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.6%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 45.5% 2.20 +2.1%

Draw 25.6% 31.3% 3.20 -10.8%

Away win 28.0% 34.7% 2.88 -11.6%

Over 2.5 54.1% 48.1% 2.08 +12.5%

Over 3.5 36.5% 28.6% 3.50 +27.8%

BTTS 54.5% 55.9% 1.79 -2.4%

Home O1.5 49.2% 43.5% 2.30 +13.2%

Away O1.5 42.6% 35.7% 2.80 +19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kecskeméti TE1.8

Fehérvár FC1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KECSKEMÉTI TE · PPG 1.83

FEHÉRVÁR FC · PPG 1.02

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kecskeméti TE (H) 46.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +2.1%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -10.8%

Fehérvár FC (A) 28.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskeméti TE face Fehérvár FC in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskeméti TE a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Fehérvár FC 28%, so Kecskeméti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kecskeméti TE and 1.4 for Fehérvár FC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskeméti TE are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.02 for Fehérvár FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +27.8%.

Kecskeméti TE vs Fehérvár FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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