Today / Hungary - NB III - Northeast / DEAC vs Debrecen II

DEAC vs Debrecen II Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:30

DEAC logo
DEAC
PPG 2.09 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Debrecen II logo
Debrecen II
PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.3%0-21.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.1%1-16.3%1-23.9%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.1%2-18.7%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.5%3-18.0%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-110.7%4+-26.6%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.3%
Draw 15.8%
Away win 20.9%
Over 2.5 67.4%
Over 3.5 47.2%
BTTS 63.3%
Home O1.5 63.4%
Away O1.5 36.6%

League track record

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.3%

H 63% / xG 2.7-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%
#2 3–1 8.0%
#3 1–1 6.3%
#4 2–0 7.1%
#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DEAC2.7
Debrecen II1.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEAC · PPG 2.09

DEBRECEN II · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 2.09 vs 1.56 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

DEAC (H) 63.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Debrecen II (A) 20.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DEAC face Debrecen II in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DEAC a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Debrecen II 21%, so DEAC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for DEAC and 1.2 for Debrecen II (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DEAC are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.56 for Debrecen II.

PredictVantage

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