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Eger vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 15:00

Eger

PPG 1.61 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tiszafuredi VSE

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-15.8%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.9%1-110.6%1-26.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.0%3-15.9%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.1%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 60.5% — — —

Home O1.5 52.7% — — —

Away O1.5 35.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.5%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eger1.8

Tiszafuredi VSE1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EGER · PPG 1.61

TISZAFUREDI VSE · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eger (H) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tiszafuredi VSE (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eger face Tiszafuredi VSE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eger a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Tiszafuredi VSE 25%, so Eger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Eger and 1.2 for Tiszafuredi VSE (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eger are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.78 for Tiszafuredi VSE.

Eger vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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