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Magni vs Kormákur / Hvöt Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Magni

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kormákur / Hvöt

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.1%0-24.6%0-32.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.0%1-19.0%1-28.1%1-34.9%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.6%3-14.6%3-24.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 34.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.7% — — —

Over 3.5 42.7% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 34% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magni1.8

Kormákur / Hvöt1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGNI · PPG 1.75

KORMÁKUR / HVÖT · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Magni (H) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kormákur / Hvöt (A) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Magni face Kormákur / Hvöt in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magni a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Kormákur / Hvöt 34%, so Magni are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Magni and 1.8 for Kormákur / Hvöt (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magni are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Kormákur / Hvöt.

Magni vs Kormákur / Hvöt Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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