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Kári vs Vikingur Olafsiik Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Kári

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vikingur Olafsiik

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.56 for Home, form 1.57 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.0%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.2%1-17.6%1-23.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.4%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-17.8%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-18.8%4+-24.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.8% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 20.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 25.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 60% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–1 7.6%

#4 3–0 8.4%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kári2.5

Vikingur Olafsiik0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KÁRI · PPG 1.57

VIKINGUR OLAFSIIK · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.56 for Home, form 1.57 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kári (H) 59.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vikingur Olafsiik (A) 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kári face Vikingur Olafsiik in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kári a 60% chance, the draw 20% and Vikingur Olafsiik 21%, so Kári are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Kári and 0.9 for Vikingur Olafsiik (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kári are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.25 for Vikingur Olafsiik.

Kári vs Vikingur Olafsiik Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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