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Tord vs Motala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Tord

PPG 0.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Motala

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-19.8%0-27.3%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.0%2-17.5%2-25.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.1%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 40.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 46.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 3.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.5%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.5%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tord1.2

Motala1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TORD · PPG 0.78

MOTALA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tord (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Motala (A) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tord face Motala in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tord a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Motala 41%, so Motala are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tord and 1.5 for Motala (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tord are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.00 for Motala.

Tord vs Motala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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