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IFK Skövde vs Herrestads Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

IFK Skövde

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Herrestads

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.5%0-22.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.5%1-17.9%1-25.7%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.8%3-16.9%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-16.8%4+-24.9%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 3.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 50% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 3–1 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Skövde2.3

Herrestads1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK SKÖVDE · PPG 1.62

HERRESTADS · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

IFK Skövde (H) 49.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Herrestads (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Skövde face Herrestads in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Skövde a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Herrestads 28%, so IFK Skövde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for IFK Skövde and 1.4 for Herrestads (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Skövde are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.12 for Herrestads.

IFK Skövde vs Herrestads Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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