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Paraguari AC vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Paraguari AC

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

SOL DE America

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-113.3%0-28.4%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.4%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.1%2-16.5%2-24.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.7%3-12.1%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.2% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 41.7% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -21.4%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 0–2 8.4%

#5 1–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paraguari AC1.0

SOL DE America1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PARAGUARI AC · PPG 1.44

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Paraguari AC (H) 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SOL DE America (A) 41.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paraguari AC face SOL DE America in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paraguari AC a 31% chance, the draw 27% and SOL DE America 42%, so SOL DE America are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Paraguari AC and 1.3 for SOL DE America (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paraguari AC are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.67 for SOL DE America.

Paraguari AC vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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