Today / Paraguay - Division Intermedia / Deportivo Capiata vs SOL DE America

Deportivo Capiata vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Deportivo Capiata

PPG 2.12 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

SOL DE America

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.4%0-25.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.0%1-112.7%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-18.6%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 28.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.7% — — —

Over 3.5 29.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -21.4%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 45% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Capiata1.3

SOL DE America1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CAPIATA · PPG 2.12

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Capiata (H) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SOL DE America (A) 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Capiata face SOL DE America in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Capiata a 45% chance, the draw 27% and SOL DE America 28%, so Deportivo Capiata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Capiata and 1.2 for SOL DE America (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Capiata are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.50 for SOL DE America. This match finished 1-4.

Deportivo Capiata vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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