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Lucksta vs Kubikenborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 17:00

Lucksta

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kubikenborg

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.1%0-23.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.3%1-18.0%1-27.5%1-34.7%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.7%3-15.0%3-24.7%3-32.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.8%4+-23.6%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.3%

H 44% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lucksta1.9

Kubikenborg1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LUCKSTA · PPG 1.86

KUBIKENBORG · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lucksta (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kubikenborg (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lucksta face Kubikenborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lucksta a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Kubikenborg 34%, so Lucksta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lucksta and 1.9 for Kubikenborg (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lucksta are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Kubikenborg.

Lucksta vs Kubikenborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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