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Torslanda vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda logo
Torslanda
PPG 1.38 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Dalstorps logo
Dalstorps
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.2%0-26.7%0-33.2%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.3%1-112.0%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.4%2-17.8%2-25.7%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.3%3-13.4%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.4% 46.3% 2.16 -19.2%
Draw 25.8% 29.0% 3.45 -6.6%
Away win 36.8% 38.5% 2.60 -4.3%
Over 2.5 53.7% 68.0% 1.47 -21.1%
Over 3.5 31.8% 46.1% 2.17 -31.0%
BTTS 54.5% 71.4% 1.40 -23.7%
Home O1.5 37.9%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 73%
BTTS 73%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 35.4%
Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.5%

A 37% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%
#2 1–2 8.7%
#3 0–0 6.4%
#4 2–1 7.8%
#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.3
Dalstorps1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.38

DALSTORPS · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 37.4%
ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -19.2%
Draw 25.8%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -6.6%
Dalstorps (A) 36.8%
ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Dalstorps in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Dalstorps 37%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Torslanda and 1.5 for Dalstorps (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.29 for Dalstorps.

PredictVantage

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